Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.157985 0.186632 0.218600 0.256861 0.301354 0.351402 0.411912
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.114778 0.152179 0.198520 0.259909 0.338828 0.436576 0.566504
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.087200 0.126793 0.180098 0.256572 0.362841 0.504558 0.706993
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072039 0.113113 0.172343 0.263059 0.397348 0.587406 0.874972
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059151 0.099449 0.161205 0.261383 0.418086 0.651579 1.022783
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.048517 0.086854 0.148959 0.255094 0.429571 0.701803 1.154075
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040032 0.075987 0.137319 0.247302 0.436537 0.744466 1.276902
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035412 0.070862 0.134201 0.252771 0.465204 0.823946 1.466415
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031298 0.065856 0.130369 0.256129 0.490155 0.899277 1.656276
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027545 0.060830 0.125634 0.256938 0.510236 0.967763 1.840729
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024691 0.057080 0.122688 0.260532 0.535538 1.047614 2.052876
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022724 0.054833 0.122331 0.269012 0.570909 1.149051 2.314117
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019562 0.049466 0.114910 0.262420 0.576391 1.196044 2.480241
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017533 0.046334 0.111792 0.264455 0.599704 1.280077 2.727074
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015374 0.042474 0.106446 0.260825 0.610546 1.340208 2.932242
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014162 0.040745 0.105697 0.267357 0.643988 1.449578 3.248026
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012610 0.037826 0.101661 0.265643 0.658760 1.521121 3.491528
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011017 0.034476 0.096027 0.259255 0.661938 1.567863 3.686250
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009567 0.031233 0.090136 0.251343 0.660444 1.603936 3.860784
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008879 0.030086 0.089566 0.256896 0.692111 1.717668 4.219434
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008173 0.028742 0.088252 0.260306 0.718833 1.822515 4.567371
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007446 0.027183 0.086093 0.261127 0.739052 1.913952 4.892417
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006888 0.026059 0.085010 0.264776 0.767034 2.026624 5.277970